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Fantasy playoffs season has arrived as Week 14 kicks off! Which players will go over the top to keep your squad's championship hopes alive? Check out who should take full advantage of favorable matchups this weekend.
Expectations were sky-high for 锘锘锘Brock Bowers锘锘锘 in the pre-draft process and the rookie TE has still shattered them. Bowers has racked up 100+ receiving yards and at least one receiving TD in two of his last three games. Not impressed yet? All other rookie TEs in the last five seasons have combined for two such games, per .
Bowers鈥 play -- and his usage -- have ascended to an elite level in recent weeks. The reigning Offensive Rookie of the Month had a November to remember and has garnered 10+ targets in six of his last eight outings, while snagging a TD in three of the previous four. His 29.8% target rate ranks seventh among all TEs with at least 100 targets in the Next Gen Stats era (since 2016). Coming off a career-high day on Black Friday, Bowers is the at his position.
In Week 14, Bowers , who rank No. 30 in and have given up the sixth-most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Bowers leads all TEs with 590 receiving yards from detached (wide or slot) alignments, and Tampa Bay has allowed the third-most yards per attempt (9.2) to TEs from detached alignments this season. Bowers鈥 strong rookie campaign should continue to surge on Sunday. ()
锘匡豢Fantasy Outlook (from NFL.com's Matt Okada)
Bowers needs just four fantasy points to move into third all-time on the fantasy points leaderboard for rookie tight ends -- and just 33 to pass 锘锘锘Sam LaPorta锘锘锘 for most in history. He鈥檚 been a revelation and a rock among tight ends, earning a rare 鈥渕ust-start鈥 label at the position. And this week, Bowers draws the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have allowed the third-most receiving yards per game to tight ends in 2024. Todd Bowles鈥 defense surrendered 20+ fantasy points to 锘锘锘Travis Kelce锘锘锘, Mark Andrews and Kyle Pitts 鈥 and could very likely add Bowers to that list this Sunday.
叠耻蹿蹿补濒辞鈥檚 James Cook should cook in . The Bills RB鈥檚 special season has been overshadowed by Josh Allen鈥檚 MVP bid, but Cook is making history in his own right. Cook, who has scored a TD in all but three outings while never surrendering a fumble this season, is just the second player in Bills franchise history to have more than 10 rushing TDs through his first 11 games of a season, per .
The Bills鈥 big men have played a huge role in Cook鈥檚 success. 叠耻蹿蹿补濒辞鈥檚 starting offensive line has played a league-leading 82.1% of snaps together this season, used jumbo personnel (6+ OL) on a league-high 15.0% of plays and average 6.83 yards of width this season, which ranks second in the NFL. That has opened holes inside for Cook, who is rushing between the tackles on a of his carries this season. It鈥檚 been a recipe for success as Bills RBs have been contacted behind the line of scrimmage on just 28.0% of runs between the tackles, the league鈥檚 second-lowest mark. Meanwhile, the Rams hold the second-lowest run stuff rate (8.3%) on such carries.
Los Angeles鈥檚 is giving up 144.2 rushing yards per game, on average, but the unit鈥檚 problems run deeper. Over the past two weeks, the Rams are giving up the third-most fantasy points to opposing RBs. And offenses are noticing. Running backs have tallied seven red zone touches in that span, which bodes well for Cook鈥檚 chances to increase his TD total. ()
Fantasy Outlook (from NFL.com's Matt Okada)
Cook has finished outside the top 30 fantasy running backs on the week just once this entire season and has been inside the top 12 a whopping seven times. He鈥檚 been a touchdown machine -- 12 so far on the year -- and is averaging 81.6 scrimmage yards per game. Sunday brings a matchup with the Rams, who have struggled to stop the run all season -- the only defenses to see more rush attempts per game are the Panthers and Colts, and this was the team to surrender 302 scrimmage yards and 46.2 fantasy points to 锘锘Saquon Barkley锘锘 a couple of weeks ago. Expect another RB1 week from the Bills back.
Although the Bengals are struggling in the win department, 锘锘锘锘锘Joe Burrow锘锘锘锘锘 is arguably having his best season as a pro. Burrow with 3,337 passing yards and 30 TDs through the air, while tossing only five interceptions. Cincinnati has posted 33+ points in six games this season and Burrow has been an offensive juggernaut in the last month: in each of the Bengals past four games, November鈥檚 has thrown at least 250 yards and three TDs.
Week 14鈥檚 should allow Burrow to continue to flex his statistical superiority. The Cowboys are giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing QBs this season and hold an NFL-worst -111-point differential at home. 锘锘锘锘锘Micah Parsons锘锘锘锘锘 and Co. like to bring the heat, as Dallas is one of only two teams to pressure opposing QBs on over half of their third-down dropbacks (50.9%), per . That should not be a problem for Burrow, whose 48.3% success rate against third-down blitzes ranks No. 3 among 46 QBs to face at least 50 such blitzes since Burrow entered the league in 2020.
The Bengals hold advantages over America鈥檚 Team in nine of NFL Pro鈥檚 12 passing categories. One key area to watch is Burrow鈥檚 propensity for finding 锘锘锘锘锘Ja'Marr Chase锘锘锘锘锘 deep. The former college teammates have connected on 11 TDs on downfield passes, five more than the next closest QB-WR duo. Burrow has the weapons -- and the talent -- to dominate Dallas鈥 defense. ()
Fantasy Outlook (from NFL.com's Matt Okada)
Despite his team鈥檚 defensive struggles resulting in a disappointing 4-8 record, Burrow has been exceptional for Cincinnati and for fantasy. He鈥檚 the QB3 on the season, behind Lamar Jackson and 锘锘锘锘锘Jayden Daniels锘锘锘锘锘, and leads the NFL in both passing yards (3,337) and passing touchdowns (30). Meanwhile, the Cowboys defense is barely an echo of what it was in recent years, allowing the fifth-most fantasy points per game to QBs. The only full-time starter they鈥檝e held to fewer than 17 fantasy points was 锘锘锘锘锘C.J. Stroud锘锘锘锘锘 back in Week 11. With hopes still set on a late-season surge, Burrow and the Bengals should dominate in Dallas.
